Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1336.128336 1526.254644 1739.858923 1998.771524 2305.638977 2659.611686 3101.525339
2025-07-20 1054.885653 1302.980089 1609.707470 2021.622911 2567.708224 3277.407378 4287.182501
2025-07-27 909.239679 1180.742782 1537.950021 2051.714949 2787.568019 3828.824558 5461.220156
2025-08-03 805.094912 1087.371249 1477.518231 2070.701334 2976.476291 4354.249682 6705.718402
2025-08-10 740.706266 1035.263620 1460.435038 2139.842814 3239.772476 5029.768879 8344.590565
2025-08-17 683.449822 983.727391 1433.727978 2184.943740 3466.441220 5684.547762 10118.751900
2025-08-24 631.454333 932.479183 1398.711816 2207.917793 3655.234994 6306.861985 12005.065429
2025-08-31 585.897833 885.249498 1362.837152 2221.662804 3826.378346 6927.763170 14072.665980
2025-09-07 552.154478 852.675753 1345.947880 2264.009579 4054.769879 7705.728812 16737.526132
2025-09-14 503.319417 790.223169 1271.446123 2191.094117 4046.028799 7991.053911 18327.934910
2025-09-21 461.577407 735.743274 1204.843133 2123.588613 4035.751469 8268.893087 19994.766184
2025-09-28 423.168537 683.619184 1137.200522 2045.281490 3989.595159 8454.753091 21480.263589
2025-10-05 410.080501 675.351428 1149.266030 2128.892701 4315.795637 9620.939543 26368.301718
2025-10-12 390.316911 653.519963 1134.212883 2155.952865 4522.479507 10552.686400 31022.698831
2025-10-19 373.126962 634.705006 1122.658226 2188.285950 4747.374783 11595.839871 36632.406714
2025-10-26 356.173993 614.789602 1106.791813 2208.824513 4947.484040 12629.820485 42839.402528
2025-11-02 346.307542 607.355152 1114.780533 2283.587932 5301.331872 14230.886972 52454.169014
2025-11-09 334.520235 595.156780 1111.735424 2332.378253 5597.113650 15753.845762 62934.163621
2025-11-16 321.405391 579.250625 1099.358992 2357.237964 5832.602697 17162.896207 74087.188682
2025-11-23 308.428900 562.587979 1083.758856 2372.113174 6043.391457 18565.864741 86556.840458
2025-11-30 298.911998 552.187266 1080.664330 2417.951451 6357.669327 20476.646614 104113.713528
2025-12-07 280.445130 522.044190 1031.485668 2339.033015 6270.540866 20798.962367 111755.322641
2025-12-14 263.820612 494.697622 986.461403 2266.008315 6190.154446 21133.108884 119980.403164